Index for "The Pentagon's New Map"

INDEX

Afghanistan, 93–94, 167, 186, 236, 260, 297, 302, 317, 352, 361

Africa, 133–34, 136, 162, 181, 186–87, 229, 265, 351–52, 362, 382–83

AIDS

    drugs, patent relief, 265–66

    epidemic, 55, 374

Air Force, U.S., 64, 77, 102, 138, 325, 337

Algeria, 188

Al Jazeera, 354

Allies, 119, 158, 178, 238, 314, 334, 336

Al Qaeda, 83, 91, 93–94, 167, 189, 236, 254, 259, 283, 285, 293

Anderson, Jack, 253, 279

Annan, Kofi, 376

Anthrax scare, 264–65

Antiglobalization, 147–48

Arafat, Yasir, 289

Arc of Instability, 168, 179–90

Armitage, Richard, 236–37

Army, Red, 60, 89, 349

Army, U.S., 77, 102, 325

Ashcroft, John, 256, 280

Asia, 2, 141, 203, 218, 220–21, 223, 231, 240, 309, 312, 334, 352, 372–73

Asian Flu (1997–98), 227

Asian miracle, 239

Aspin, Les, 96

Assad, Bashir, 289

Asymmetrical warfare, 89–96, 318

Atran, Scott, 216–17

August coup, 15

Australia, 334

Authoritarian states, 201, 255, 344

Axis of Evil, 283

Azerbaijan, 133

Baker, Ted, 65, 73

Balkans, 309–10

Banking, Islamic, 218–19

Barbie (doll), 125

Battlefield preparation, 337

Bayer, 265

Benjamin, Daniel, 43

Berlin Wall, 2, 42

Better life, expectations of, 216–17

Big Bang strategy, 278–94

Big Family, 133

Big Man problem, 133, 305, 314, 331

Big One, 63, 67–68, 70, 72, 98–99, 104, 115, 121, 140, 142, 172, 316

Big picture, 20–22, 367

Big Sticks, 70, 98–99

Bilateral security assistance, 188–89

Bin Laden, Osama, 93–94, 185, 205, 223, 249, 261, 263–64, 266, 288, 297, 354–55

Bio-engineered crops, 374

Birth rates, 208

Blue-water navy, 74, 234, 336

Bolivia, 134–35

“Bolt from the blue” scenario, 110, 121, 149

Bombay, India. See Mumbai

Boot, Max, 105

Botswana, 306

Bottom-up thinkers, 20

Brazil, 31, 188, 330

Brezhnev, Leonid, 38

Brief, 65–79, 81, 191

Britain, 105

“Broken window” approach to crime,

353–54

Bush, George H.W., 81, 157

Bush, George W., 30–31, 102, 288, 318, 354, 364

Bush Administration, 2, 6, 96–97, 101

    and 9/11, 156–57

    Big Bang strategy in Middle East, 263, 281–94

    and China, 108–10, 226

    Cold War policy types in, 156–58

    political gamesmanship with allies,

158

    preemption strategy, 35, 42, 167–79, 243, 261

    strategic planning changes, 363–64

    and war on terrorism, 142–43

Canada, 265, 373

Cannibalizing agent, 260

Cantor Fitzgerald, 46–48, 151, 196–99, 227, 259–60, 278, 280, 304

Capitalism, 200

Carter Administration, 183

Carter Doctrine, 184

Castro, Fidel, 305

Cebrowski, Arthur K., 154, 250–51, 267, 315–16, 327–29, 332–33, 337

Center for International Development and Conflict (University of Maryland), 347

Center for Naval Analyses (CNA), 18–19, 109

Central Africa, 120, 216, 238, 287, 351

Central Asia, 179, 181, 306, 310, 334

Central Command, 42

Chad, 374

Chávez, Hugo, 351

Chief of Naval Operations (CNO), 13

Children, 164, 375

China, 31, 38, 62, 68, 74–75, 93, 100–101, 104–105

    baby girl surplus in, 207

    as democracy, 129–30

    as diplomatic near-peer, 108–10, 169, 224–31, 241–42, 381

    energy consumption rate, 201–202

    Internet censorship by, 126–27, 165–66

    joins Core nations, 124

    as main T-bill purchaser, 311–12

    Pentagon’s vertical scenarios about,

110–21, 152

    protectionism of, 131

    P-3 spy plane incident, 282

    rise as manufacturing superpower, 239

    and SARS, 263, 311

    and Taiwan, 62, 90, 101, 241–42, 300, 334, 377

Chinese Communist Party, 241

CIA Factbook, 162

Cipro, 265

Clancy, Tom, 12

The Clash of Civilizations (Huntington), 51, 150

Classified material, 343

Clinton Administration, 3, 78, 96–97, 176

    foreign policy of, 167–68, 226

    and free trade, 194, 373

    push to expand G–7, 376

    second term, 102–103

    Two-Major Regional Conflicts scenario, 61

Coalition partners, 314

Coast Guard, U.S., 317

Codependent relationships, 222

Cohen, William, 96

Cold War, 29–31, 82, 84, 368

    Big One mentality, 115

    classic vertical scenario, 117

    containment strategy, 19, 171–72

    end of, 1–5, 37–38, 304

    great-power war during, 272, 274

    and Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD), 39–41

    myths after, 348–49

    peace dividend of, 64, 82, 196, 301

    postwar horizontal scenario, 118–20

Cold Worriers, 70, 76, 98–99, 101, 103

Colombia, 238, 305, 351–52, 380

Colonialism, 160

Combat, 145

    losses, 308

    operations, 348

Combatant commanders, 324

Command of the seas, 74, 76

Competition, 86–87

Conflict, 203

Congo, 164

Congress, U.S., 90, 116, 140

Connectivity, 3–4, 82, 125, 165–66, 185, 331

Conservatives, 159–60

Containment, 19, 171–72

Contingency positioning, 144–45

Core-Gap model, 154–55, 159, 166, 183, 229, 288, 303, 368

Core nations, 4, 25–27, 56, 83, 300, 339

    colonial legacy of, 160

    defining, 125

    new states in, 55–58, 124, 240, 374–78

    religions in, 187

    shrink the Gap strategy, 305–306, 355, 360, 369

Corporate security, 86

Cossey, Jim, 16

Coulter, Ann, 271

Covert operations, 335

Credit, 200

Crisis response, 3–4, 92, 138–54, 313, 348

    categories of, 144–45

    days of operation, 237–38

Cuba, 305

Decision making, 66–67

Defense Act of 1947, 142, 303

Defense Department, 2, 4, 18, 48, 140, 257, 350, 372

    budget, 64, 115–16, 141, 325

    new ordering principle of, 269–70

Defense spending, 299

Democracy, 127, 129–30, 166, 201, 379

Deng Xiaoping, 38, 68, 129

Depopulation, 207

Deputy Assistant Secretaries of Defense (DASDs), 180–81

Deseret News, 253

Desert One, 42

Deterrence, 170, 174, 261

Die Zeit, 184

Dinosaur effect, 258

Disconnectedness, 49, 52, 57, 107–10, 331, 355–56, 360

    along Arc of Instability, 179–90

    different rule sets for different worlds, 166–79

    living and dying in the Gap, 154–66

    mapping globalization’s frontier, 131–37

    of Middle East, 214–24

    minding the Gap, 137–54

    and vertical thinking, 110–21

Djibouti, 188

Doha Development Round, 131, 265–66, 377

Dollar (U.S.), 244

Domino theory, 91

Donnelly, Thomas, 362

Draft brief, 79, 81

Drug trafficking, 351

Early Bird (news service), 180

East Asia, 238

Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), 374

Economist, 203

Eisenhower, Dwight, 58

Empire, defined, 355

Enemy, defined, 119

Energy consumption, 201–202

Energy Department, 200, 202

Energy flows, 214–24, 240–41

eSpeed, 259–60

Esquire, 6, 154–55, 181, 267

Ethnic conflicts, 348–49

Euro, 307

European Union, 87, 229, 309, 363

Evacuation operations, 144

Exporting security, 179, 303–15, 369

Failed states, 88, 93, 122

FBI, 268

Fearmongering, 326, 344–45

Feith, Doug, 279

Fertility rates, 208

Flanagan, William “Bud,” 138, 146, 151–52, 197, 199, 226

Flexible Fleet Response, 362–63

Flows, 192

    of energy, 214–24, 240–41

    of money, 224–31

    of people, 206–14, 240

    of security, 231–45

Foreign aid, 359, 374

Foreign direct investment (FDI), 202,

228–29, 239, 305–306

Formers, 13

Former socialist bloc, 352

France, 264

Freedom House, 2003 survey, 136–37, 162

Free markets, 127

Free Trade Area of the Americas, 373, 380

Friedman, Thomas, 51, 236, 263

From the Sea, 78, 97–98, 137

“Frontier fort” model, 362

Fuel cells, 223, 380

Functioning Core. See Core nations

Future threats, 24

Future worth creating, 379–83

G–20, 376

Gaffney, Henry “Hank,” Jr., 98, 109,

111–12, 118, 120, 148

Gang of Five, 65, 71–73, 77

Gap nations, 4, 26–27, 56, 86, 88, 99, 183, 300, 339

    fear of globalization in, 167

    labor flow from Core, 212–14

    lack of connectivity in, 165–66

    lack of freedom in, 162–63

    lack of rule sets and investors in, 132–37

    life expectancy in, 163–64

    mapping frontier of, 131–37

    minding, 137–54

    poverty in, 161–62

    and preemption policy, 167–79

    religious fundamentalists in, 187

    Seam States around, 188–89, 369

    and shrink the Gap strategy, 305–306, 355, 360, 369, 373

    violence in, 164–65

Gartska, John, 327

Gatekeepers, 66

Gender issues, 135–36, 361

Germany, 179, 330

Ghana, 136–37, 306

Gingrich, Newt, 374

Ginsberg, Phil, 151–52, 199, 202, 226

Glasnost, 127

Global chaos, 342–50

Global commute, 212–13

Global economy, 229, 238, 241, 255, 335, 347

Globalization, 2–4, 24

    Core nations, 4, 25–27, 56, 83

       defining, 125

       new states in, 55–58, 124

    as dominant horizontal scenario in 1990s, 120

    first phase of, 27–29, 33, 45, 262

    flows, 192

       of energy, 214–24, 240–41

       of money, 224–31

       of people, 206–14, 240

       of security, 231–45

    fourth phase of, 364, 370

    future of, 49–58

    Gap nations, 4, 26–27, 56, 99

       mapping frontier of, 131–37

       minding, 137–54

    less violence with rule-set extension,

82–83

    military-market link, 193–205

    second phase of, 31–32, 206, 230, 309

    Ten Commandments for, 199–205

    third phase of, 31–33, 35, 223, 230, 240, 244, 309

Global military spending, 348

Global poverty rates, 347

Global Transaction Strategy, 295–98,

369–83

    American way of war, 327–39

    exporting security, 303–15

    need for two militaries, 299–303

    System Administrator, 315–27

Global War on Terrorism (GWOT), 25, 62, 104–105, 108, 158, 168, 192, 256, 306, 324, 353, 378

Go-fast event, 273

Gorbachev, Mikhail, 127–28

Great Depression, 32, 34

Great-power war, 82, 245, 272, 274

Group 20-plus, 55, 378

Growth, 200–201

Guest workers, 376

Guyana, 136

Haiti, 145, 348

Harris, John R., 165

Hawala networks, 219

Hayes, Bradd, 71, 78, 146

Heredity succession, 133

Hobbes, Thomas, 161, 327

Holocaust, 32

Homeland Security, 256–57, 317, 325,

372

Homer-Dixon, Thomas, 262–63

Hong Kong, 218

Hope without guarantees, 367–83

Horizontal scenarios, 110–21, 262

House of Saud, 185, 289, 381

Hubs, 362–63

Humanitarian assistance, 313

The Hunt for Red October (Clancy), 12

Huntington, Samuel P., 51, 150

Hussein, Saddam, 42–43, 93, 120, 137,

155, 173, 194, 204, 277,

286–87

Identity theft, 27

Ignatius, David, 105

Illegal activities, 134

Immigration, 206–14, 376

Imperial overstretch, 363–64

India, 31, 124, 169, 188, 212, 232–36,

241–42, 330

Indonesia, 188, 352

Infrastructure, 201–202

International Criminal Court, 176, 321

International crisis, 245

International Monetary Fund (IMF), 33, 375–77

Internet, 126–27, 165–66, 356–57

Interservice competition, 102

Interstate war, 84

Investment, 202, 228–29, 239, 241, 313

Iran, 84, 125–26, 289, 380

Iran-Iraq war, 42

Iraq, 42–43, 84, 90, 116–17, 137, 145, 155–56, 167, 177, 186, 204, 216, 222, 352

    postwar, 302, 306, 310, 319

    re-creation of, 379

    transformation of, 290–92, 357–58

Iraq War, 182–83, 284–87, 318

Islam, 42, 109

Isolationism, 160, 309

Israel, 42, 93, 214, 217, 219, 292–93, 334, 379

Jaffe, Greg, 181–83

Japan, 2, 31, 130, 161, 227, 229, 239, 245, 330, 334, 363, 376

Jews, 278–81

Jointness, 337, 371

Jordan, 306

Junod, Tom, 371

Justice Department, 95, 268

Kagan, Robert, 52

Kaplan, Robert, 53

Kashmir, 235–36, 377

Kazakhstan, 133

Keller, Bill, 104

Kennan, George, 30, 230

Kennedy, Ken, 13–14

Kennedy, Paul, 363

Kenya, 167

Khatami, Mohammad, 380

Khodorkovsky, Mikhail, 128

Killer brief, 65–79

Kim Jong Il, 133, 305–306, 377, 379–81

Kissinger, Henry, 38, 42

Korean War, 114

Koyaanisqatsi, 247

Kristof, Nicholas, 216

Krueger, Anne, 377

Krugman, Paul, 311–12

Kull, Steven, 204

Kuwait, 84, 90, 117

Land mines, 165

Latin America, 218, 229, 351–52, 373

Latinos, 209–10

Leaders

    removing bad, 375

    terms of service, 132–33, 162–63

Lebanon, 42, 93, 289, 306

LeMay, Curtis, 250

Lenin, V. I., 45, 93–94

Lesser Includeds, 59–63

    and 9/11, 96–106

    ascendancy of, 263

    and asymmetrical warfare, 89–96

    fracturing of security, 79–88

    and Manthorpe Curve, 63–79

    security for, 149–51

Leviathan, 161, 175–76, 203–204, 283, 294, 299–301, 309

Liberals, 159

Liberia, 352

Life expectancy, 209

Life out of balance, 247–50

Little Big Men, 133

Locke, John, 166

Lutnick, Howard, 259

Madagascar, 203

Mahan, Alfred Thayer, 64–65, 75

Malaysia, 130, 218–19, 281

Mallaby, Sebastian, 375

Manthorpe, William, 63–79

Manthorpe Curve, 63–79, 100

Mao Zedong, 38

Marine Corps, U.S., 76, 78, 102, 138, 325

Mass violence, 85

McNamara, Robert, 40–41

Media, 344

Mexico, 373, 382

Middle East, 38, 92, 140, 163, 184–87, 201

    Big Bang strategy in, 281–94

        disconnection from outside world,

214–24, 229

    transformation of, 243, 380–81

Military

    bases, 179, 362

Military (cont.)

    interventions, 159

    -market link, 193–205

    need for two, 299–303

Military Operations Other Than War (MOOTW), 103–105, 108, 141,

319

Milosevic, Slobodan, 84, 93, 120

Mission creep, 81

Miss World competition, 126

Moderates, 160

Mogadishu, 81

Money flows, 202, 224–31

Mumbai, India, 232–34

Muslims, 187

Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD),

39–41, 84, 174, 261, 271, 300

Mutually assured dependence, 122–23

Myths, 341–42

    of America as globocop, 350–54

    of American empire, 354–66

    of global chaos, 342–50

National Guard, U.S., 102, 317, 319, 325

National Intelligence Council, 55

National interest, 81–82, 91, 118, 300

National Public Radio, 182–83

National security, 277, 308

National Security Act of 1947, 257

National security analyst, 11, 20

National security crisis, 261

National Security Strategy, 242

Nation-building, 81, 194

Nation-state, 84, 86

NATO, 33, 42, 128, 309, 334, 372, 382

Natural gas, 223, 380

Naval Forces Capabilities Planning Effort (NFCPE), 69–79

Naval War College, 109–10, 196–99, 250, 303, 315, 327

Navy, Indian, 232

Navy, Russian, 13–18, 64, 74

Navy, U.S., 14, 102, 234, 325

    as crisis-response force, 138–54

    good planning by, 362–63

    and Manthorpe Curve, 63–79

    post–Cold War vision, 73–78

    and Tailhook scandal, 72

Near-peer conflict, 326

Net-centric war, 327–29

New Core states, 55–58, 169, 240–41,

374–78

New economy, 33–34

New ordering principle

    Big Bang as strategy, 278–94

    the greater inclusive, 267–78

    life out of balance, 247–50

    rise of system perturbations, 258–67

    September 11, 2001, 250–57

New rule sets, 9–11

    future worth creating, 46–58

    gaps in, 27–34

    for new era, 18–35

    playing Jack Ryan, 12–18

    and WWII vs. Vietnam War, 35–46

New Rule Sets Project, 46–48, 146, 151, 197–98, 225, 304

New World Order, 59–63, 157, 194, 271

New York City Police Department, 353

New York Times, 136, 216, 236, 263

New York Times Magazine, 104

Nigeria, 126

    1920s, 29, 309

    1930s, 28–29

Nixon, Richard, 38, 42

Nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), 321

Non-Integrating Gap. See Gap nations

Nonstate actors, 88

North America, 2, 220

North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), 87, 373, 382

North Korea, 84, 90, 131, 133, 330, 334, 377, 379

No-win scenario, 149–52

Nuclear power, 330

Nuclear weapons, 39–41, 84–85, 161, 172, 300, 316, 325

Occupation force, 318

Office of Legislative Affairs (OLA), 137–38

Office of Secretary of Defense (OSD),

179–80

Official developmental aid (ODA), 202

Of Paradise and Power: America and Europe in the New World Order (Kagan), 52

Oil, 182–85, 200

    companies, 215

    flow of, 214–24

Old Core economies, 55–58

Old Europe, 143, 288

Oliver, Dave, 72

OPEC, 42, 221, 312

Operation Desert Storm, 42, 64, 81, 117, 310, 318, 329–30

Operation Iraqi Freedom, 264, 277, 289, 310, 318, 329

Operation Liberty Shield, 277, 317–18

Overseas Filipino Workers, 212–13

Overwhelming force, 337

Pacific Rim, 372, 382

Pakistan, 188, 235–36, 330, 352, 377

Paraguay, 134

Peace, 62

Peace and Conflict Ledger 2003 (University of Maryland), 351

Peace dividend, 64, 82, 196, 301

Peacekeeping operations, 144, 164–65, 314, 319

Pearl Harbor, 315

Pei, Minxin, 358–59

Pentagon, 3–7, 16, 95, 372

    budget planning, 116, 141

    and Bush Administration, 108–10

    and China, 110–21, 152, 172

    exporting security, 313–15

    failure to embrace post–Cold War reality, 59–63, 349

    gear-up for war with China, 225–26

    how 9/11 saved it from itself, 96–106

    insular mind-set of, 193–94

    Leviathan vs. System Administrator “departments” in, 318–27

    new ordering principle of, 269–70

    in post–Cold War era, 23–24

    post-Vietnam internal rebuilding, 80

    Program Objective Memorandum (POM), 115

    vertical thinking of, 110–21

    view of national security, 26–27

People flows, 206–14, 240

People’s Liberation Army, 241–42

Perestroika, 127

Perry, William, 96

Persian Gulf, 184–87, 214–22, 277, 309–10, 312, 334, 357, 361–62

Persian Gulf War, 80, 139

Peru, 351

Petrea, Howard “Rusty,” 71

Philippines, 188, 212–13, 352

Pipes, Daniel, 187, 254

Pipes, Richard, 36

Political will, 204–205, 313

Population flows, 206–14, 376

Posse Comitatus restrictions, 321

Potential support ratio (PSR), 206, 209–11

Powell, Colin, 168, 194, 280

Power projection, 299

Preemption strategy, 35, 42, 167–79, 243, 261, 354

Press, 344

Proceedings, 327, 332–33

Program Objective Memorandum (POM), 115

Proliferators, 300

P-3 spy plane, 282

Putin, Vladimir, 127

Qaddafi, Muammar, 306

Quad Btu, 219–20

Quagmires, 153, 194

Racism, 361

Rag-top option, 72

Ramstein Air Force Base, 179, 362

Raw materials, 133–34, 218–19

Reagan, Ronald, 30, 128

Realists, 342

Red Army, 60, 89

Refugee flows, 164, 313

Reggio, Godfrey, 247

Regime change, 215, 314, 375

Relief operations, 144

Religious fundamentalists, 187

Religious-inspired transnational terrorism, 43–46

Replacement migration, 209

Reproducible strategic concepts, 19–20, 30

Reserve currency, 244, 307–308

Reserves, U.S., 102, 319, 325

Resources, 199–201

Ressam, Ahmed, 254

Revolution in military affairs (RMA),

194

Ridge, Tom, 256

Roaring Twenties, 29, 309

Rodrik, Dani, 131

Rogue states, 83, 93, 122, 135

Romania, 112

Roosevelt, Franklin, 58

Royal succession, 133

Rule of law, 127, 130

Rule-set loss, 203

Rule sets, 9–10, 82–83, 202–203

    for American way of war, 332–39

    different, for different worlds, 166–79

    economic, 168–79, 197–98, 202–203

    gaps in, 27–34, 88

    lack of, and investors, 132–37

    need for new security, 85, 268

Rule sets (cont.)

    and New Rule Sets Project, 46–48,

197–98

    resetting, 34, 240, 244–45, 260–64

Rumsfeld, Donald, 104, 168, 180, 226, 237, 315, 318

Russia, 68, 100, 131, 169, 264, 352

    bankruptcy of, 199–200

    economic reform in, 127–29

    post-WWI, 143

Russian Federation, 334

Sacred terror, 43–46

SARS superspreaders, 263

Saudi Arabia, 219, 362, 380–81

Schaefer, Charlie, 73, 77

Schwarzkopf, Norman, 64

Seam States, 188–89, 369

Seattle Man, 265

Security

    bilateral, 188–89

    exporting, 179, 303–15, 369

    flows of, 231–45

    fracture of market for, 79–88

    for Lesser Includeds, 149–51

    no rules without, 203

Security dilemma, 204

Separatist movements, 348–49

September 11, 2001, 2, 7, 19, 24

    and Cantor Fitzgerald, 46–48

    change in rule set since, 10–11, 34–35, 88, 92–95

    how 9/11 saved the Pentagon, 96–106

    immediate aftermath of, 256–66

    inability of U.S. to stop attack, 317

    as launch for Big Bang strategy, 281–94

Serbia, 84, 93

Show of force, 145

Shrink the Gap strategy, 305–306, 355, 360, 369

Siegel, Adam, 138–39

Sierra Leone, 374–75

Simon, Steven, 43

Singapore, 130, 203

Single crisis response, 138

Small Arms Survey, 86

Smith, Leighton “Snuffy,” 16–17, 65

Smuggling, 135

Social Darwinism, 361

Somalia, 81, 99, 119, 144–45, 194, 204,

348

South Africa, 188

South America, 2

South Korea, 31, 90, 124, 130, 239, 306, 330, 334, 377

Soviet republics, former, 330, 352

Soviet Union, 13

    August coup, 15

    and Cold War, 37–41

    collapse of, 59–63, 349

Special Operations Forces, 95, 260, 323–24, 337

Stability, no markets without, 200

State bankruptcy, 376–77

State Department, 30, 95, 373

State-on-state wars, 85

Stearns, Rick “Sterno,” 78

Strategic Arms Limitation Talks (SALT), 41

Strategic concept reproducibility, 19–20, 30

Strategic Policy Analysis Group (SPAG), 13

Strickland, Mike, 78

Submarines, 362

Sub-Saharan Africa, 134, 335, 382

Sudan, 167

Suicide bombers, 216

Syria, 289

System Administrator, 299–303, 315–27, 371

System Perturbations, 258–67, 277,

303–304, 371

Tailhook scandal, 72

Taiwan, 62, 90, 101, 241–42, 334, 377, 381

Taiwan Straits crisis, 101

Taliban, 260, 297, 361

The Tank, 67

Tanzania, 167

Taylor, Charles, 88, 133, 375

Telecommunications connectivity, 136–37, 374

Terrorism, 43–46, 84, 91, 93

Terrorist groups, 165, 187–88, 216–17

Tharoor, Shashi, 242

The End of the World As We Knew It (TEOTWAWKI), 118

Theocracies, 134

Third World, 80, 91–92, 190

Threat-identification process, 24

Tiananmen Square protest, 129

Tolkien, J.R.R., 368

Top-down thinking, 367

Top Secret clearance, 342–43, 345

Traditional societies, 135–36, 361

Transitioneers, 69–70, 98–99, 103

Transnational terrorism, 43–46, 84, 91, 93

Truman, Harry, 30–31, 170, 364

“Trust fund” states, 219, 381

Tunisia, 306

Two-Major Regional Conflicts scenario, 61

Über-realists, 342

Uganda, 306

Ulam, Adam, 36

Unilateralism, 177, 313

United Nations, 178, 190, 300, 319, 336, 352

    High Commissioner for Refugees, 164

    population projections, 206–11

    Security Council, 33, 177, 322, 376

United States, 31, 229

    American way of war, 327–39

    defense spending, 299

    as empire, 354–66

    foreign investment in, 244

    future military power of, 315–27

    gap in perception with Europe, 52

    as Gap Leviathan, 161, 175–76, 204–205, 283, 294, 299–301, 309

       and System Administrator, 310–15

    as globocop, 350–54

    Iraq invasion, 277

    Latinization of culture in, 209–10

    nationalistic periods in, 123

    preemption strategy of, 167–79, 354

    security export by, 231–45

    sovereign debt of, 378

U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), 21

U.S. News & World Report, 183

U.S. Refugee Committee, 2002 global survey, 164

USA Patriot Act, 35, 242–43, 256–57

Venezuela, 351

Vertical scenarios, 110–21, 250, 262

Vietnam Syndrome, 80, 204

Vietnam War, 80–81, 319

Violence, 85–88, 164–65

Virtual migration, 211–12

Vision, 63

Vlahos, Michael, 42

Voss, Phil, 15

Wall Street, 227, 241, 307

Wall Street Journal, 181–83

War

    and absence of rule sets, 132

    American way of, 327–39

    asymmetrical, 89–96, 318

    big vs. small, 302

    in Gap states, 164–65

    great-power, 82, 245, 272, 274

    interstate, 84

    just, 326

    main criterion for waging, 300

    net-centric, 327–29

    state-on-state, 85, 95

    on terrorism, 25, 62, 104–105, 108, 158, 168, 187, 192, 256, 306, 324, 353, 378

    without peer, 62

Warlords, 88

War zones, 239

Washington, D.C., 110

Washington Consensus, 130, 168

Washington Post, 105

Weschler, Tom, 303

West Africa, 351

West Bank wall, 292–93

Western Europe, 2, 31, 52, 176

White paper, 67, 76–77

Wilkerson, Tom, 72–73, 76–77

Will, political, 204–205, 313

Wilson, Woodrow, 364

Wired, 213

Wisconsin, 110

Wolfowitz, Paul, 279–80, 291

Women’s status, 135–36, 375

Working brief, 79, 81

World Bank, 31, 162, 347

World Health Organization, 263

World Trade Center bombing, 197, 259

World Trade Organization (WTO), 55, 129–31, 218, 265, 374

World Values Survey, 135

World War I, 143, 309

World War II, 29–30, 32–33, 58, 245, 297, 301, 309, 383

World War III, 60, 84, 99, 151

Yeltsin, Boris, 15

Yen, 307

Y2K, 26, 250–59, 315, 372

Younger populations, 163

Youth bulges, 163–64

Yuan, 307

Yugoslavia, 145–46, 292, 348–49, 352

Yukos (oil company), 128

Zakaria, Fareed, 34, 201, 219, 381

Zoellick, Robert, 45, 266, 373