Made this after one of our initial expert workshops on Y2K in 1998.
The six-phase sequence across the top, with the four domains down the left side.
Each box presents the leading scenario dynamic per the phase-domain combo, with the red-arrow designations defining the dynamic that marks the shift to the next phase--or signposts to watch (like the appearance of "Y2K and you" literature from the government to deal with the perceived "credibility gap" in the initial "Mania" phase). The red circles in the last phase suggest the "new X" legacies that arise in the aftermath.
I used to love briefing this slide, although it took a while.
Not the greatest predictor on Y2K--once the Onset proved pretty mild, but an interesting prediction/capture on 9/11 and beyond in terms of the Onset, Unfolding, Peak & Exit phases.