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« The long-term threat of debt | Main | Brilliant pro-Obama bit by Simpsons' animators »
12:00PM

The real Turkey-Iran battle over Iraq

Blogged a piece a while ago about how Iranian products just aren't making it in Iraq, while Turkish ones are far more welcome.  This FT piece by Daniel Dombey (whom I cite a lot) argues that what the geo-pols consider Turkish empire re-building is undergirded for the most part in wanting to dominate export models (my read of his analysis).  Why?

Turkey has hit that middle-class phase where the people want to consumer a lot and thus imports rise - along with consumer credit.  Unless you combat that with exports, you end up a bit too much like the US.

Iraq has just overtaken Italy as Turkey's second-biggest export market, with the KRG leading the way.

Turkey has similar eyes for Syria and - ultimately - a post-changed-regime Iran.

These are good ambitions, the best kind of "imperialism" - really:  making consumers happier than the crappy regime that lords over them.

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Reader Comments (2)

What does the yellow on the map mean? Looks sorta like the range of Kurdish territories, but I didn't think they went all the way to the Persian Gulf.

October 29, 2012 | Unregistered CommenterMichael

Yes, the "Kurdish populated" territories are always very loosely defined. Surely in some parts of the yellow area, the percentage of Kurds is as little as 10%. These maps also serve a geopolitical aim, notice the extension to Mediterranean sea and Persian gulf as well, while the reality is Kurdish majority areas are landlocked in the high mountains.

November 2, 2012 | Unregistered Commenterkodlu

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