This weekend, while Cairo was burning and Hosni Mubarak struggled to maintain power, I was in a kind of virtual Vulcan mind meld with a network of regional experts for my day job at Wikistrat, a Tel Aviv-based online scenario-modeling firm, ginning up ideas of what might come next for Egypt: Does the big man step down? Or do the people win? Does it all happen very fast, or way too slow? They're not easy questions to answer, and what happens in the next day or so will be crucial. But based on that weekend of analysis — and quite a bit of time spent in Egypt, including close interactions with the military there — a clearer picture is starting to emerge.
Read the entire post at Esquire's The Politics Blog.