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    Great Powers: America and the World After Bush
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    by Vonne M. Meussling-Barnett, Thomas P.M. Barnett
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    by Thomas P.M. Barnett, Vonne M. Meussling-Barnett
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    by Thomas P.M. Barnett, Vonne M. Meussling-Barnett
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    The Emily Updates (Vol. 4): One Year in the Life of the Girl Who Lived (The Emily Updates (Vols. 1-5))
    by Thomas P.M. Barnett, Vonne M. Meussling-Barnett
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    The Emily Updates (Vol. 5): One Year in the Life of the Girl Who Lived (The Emily Updates (Vols. 1-5))
    by Vonne M. Meussling-Barnett, Thomas P.M. Barnett, Emily V. Barnett
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11:08AM

(RESILIENT BLOG) Political Resilience Is Being Confident To Face Ugly Truths, Knowing Your System Will Survive The Encounter

AFTER AMERICA RODE A TIDAL WAVE OF ECONOMIC INTEGRATION AND EXPANSION FOLLOWING ITS CIVIL WAR (MOVING RAPIDLY FROM A SECTIONAL ECONOMY TO A TRULY CONTINENTAL ONE), A FRIGHTENING STRETCH OF BOOMS AND BUSTS IGNITED A LENGTHY PROGRESSIVE ERA (BREAKING FOR THE ROARIN' TWENTIES) WHEN POLITICAL ACTORS FROM BOTH PARTIES SOUGHT SYSTEMIC REFORMS - LEST THE COUNTRY SUCCUMB TO THE SORT OF RADICALISM LOOMING IN EUROPE (SEE FALLOUT OF WWI, CAUSES OF WWII). It was a frightening journey in many ways, with worried leaders concerned that the very nature of American democracy was at stake. But this is the usual price to be paid in return for a radical and lengthy expansion of economic activity, and it's one the world faces today after that quarter-century-plus boom that ended in 2008-09 and left the global economy with a bad hangover of toxic debt that is still largely to be processed ...

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11:15AM

(RESILIENT BLOG) Bruce Schneier's Notion of the "World-Sized Web" - Prepare to Be Blown Away

THE BEST "LEFT-HANDED" COMPLIMENT I'VE EVER RECEIVED ON MY WORK IS, "YOU'VE ARTICULATED SO WELL ALL THESE THINGS I'VE BEEN THINKING ABOUT AND SAYING - FOR YEARS!"  I call that compliment "left-handed" (an old phrase) because, at first blush, you're tempted to say, "Well, that makes me sound not very original and I most certainly am!" But, in truth, if you're in the business of being a "guru" or "visionary" or just somebody who thinks systematically about the future and likes to think they're good at it (where I fall), this is the best sort of compliment you can receive.  Why? Because, if your ideas are truly contagious and transferrable and accessible, they should tap into all sorts of broader notions out there that others are pondering too. If your "vision" is yours and yours alone, it won't "travel." But, if you can organize and codify a range of prevalent-but-complex ideas out there in a way that makes them truly know-able on a broad scale, then you've actually accomplished something ...

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2:47PM

(PRESS RELEASE) Resilient Corporation Congratulates Winners of HUD's National Disaster Resilience Competition

Washington DC, 3 February 2016 - Late last month the White House announced "historic commitments to build climate resilient communities." These state, county and city winners of the Department of Housing and Urban Development's National Disaster Resilience Competition will receive a "combined $1 billion in disaster recover funds to rebuild and better prepare for future extreme weather and other climate change impacts." The awards range from $15 million (State of New Jersey) to $176 million (City of New York), and the 13 recipient governments have all recently withstood extreme weather events (hurricane, flood) or periods (drought) that put their public-sector's resilience to the test. The Obama Administration likewise announced the expansion of the Resilience AmeriCorps and Climate Action Champions programs, with those new benefits flowing to those competition finalists that did not receive federal awards ...

 

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6:07PM

(RESILIENT BLOG) The World's Most Resilient Cities, Viewed Through the Lens of Real Estate

LEAVING BEHIND THE LOCATION! LOCATION! LOCATION! MICRO-MINDSET OF EVALUATING REAL ESTATE, A PROMINENT GLOBAL PROPERTY FIRM PULLS BACK ITS LENS TO RATE CITIES FROM THE WIDER PERSPECTIVE OF INVESTMENT RISK, BALANCING OBSERVED VULNERABILITY AGAINST DISPLAYED ADAPTABILITY. The results are fascinating, revealing the sort of in-depth appreciation of an industry sector that can be achieved when objective measures are systematically applied - something in which we at Resilient Corporation are deep believers ...

 

 

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12:07PM

(RESILIENT BLOG) The Stunning Cancer Experiment That Is China, And How It Might Just Improve The World

IF NECESSITY IS THE MOTHER OF INVENTION, THEN TRAGEDY IS THE MOTHER OF RESILIENCE. Right now China, home to 19% of the world's population, is enduring a national tragedy when it comes to environmental pollution delivering carcinogens to the citizenry, who, in turn, now suffer extraordinary cancer rates. That's the bad news. The good new is that China, like so many economic "risers" before it, is certain to surmount its local pollution issues as its per-capita income reaches that level - seen in previously industrialized nations like the UK and the US - when the public begins to prefer a cleaner environment more than that next additional bit of income ...

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10:54AM

(RESILIENT BLOG) The Difficulty of Rating Complex Organizations And Their Behaviors

OVERSEAS REMITTANCES (MONEY SENT HOME BY WORKERS ABROAD) ARE ONE OF GLOBALIZATION'S GREAT ECONOMIC "LUBRICANTS," ALLOWING LABOR FROM LESS-CONNECTED COUNTRIES TO "COMMUTE" TO THOSE BETTER-CONNECTED ECONOMIES WHERE MORE EARNING POWER IS FOUND. It is, in many ways, a "poor man's" way to connect a household to better functioning parts of the global economy. No, it's not new. It's just gotten a whole lot more important in recent years and decades for countries on the periphery of globalization's core. Their national economies might be weakly connected to opportunity, but these workers surmount that by being willing to go to where the work is ...

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10:49AM

(PRESS RELEASE) CRA Partners with Resilient Corporation as Newest Strategic Distributor of Resilient Scores

Washington DC, 28 January 2016 – CRA Inc., a nationally-recognized homeland security and emergency management firm headquartered in northern Virginia, recently signed a strategic distribution agreement with Vienna-based Resilient Corporation, owner/operator of the organizational Resilient Score™ and cross-industry Resilient Index™ ...

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12:40PM

(RESILIENT BLOG) The Difficulty of Rating Complex Organizations And Their Behaviors

WAPO LETS A U.K. ACADEMIC DECONSTRUCT TRANSPARENCY INTERNATIONAL'S ANNUAL CORRUPTION INDEX AND IT'S INSTRUCTIVE TO ANYONE IN THE RATING INDUSTRY - TO INCLUDE RESILIENT CORPORATION. Prof. Dan Hough of the University of Sussex offer four grains of salt when it comes to how the index portrays a complex subject (public corruption) over time. Me? I want to exploit Hough's deconstruction to deconstruct Resilient Corporation's Resilient Score/Index, because it's always good to reconsider one's own limitations and strengths ...

 

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3:51PM

(RESILIENT BLOG) A Civilization's Resilience Is Measured By Its Ability To Adapt Its Values To Economic Modernization

THERE IS A PREVALENT BELIEF THAT WESTERN SOCIETIES ARE MORE SOCIALLY BRITTLE WHEN IT COMES TO ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, WHILE EASTERN SOCIETIES ARE MORE RESILIENT. This is often expressed in terms of Asian societies featuring stronger social bonds and more community emphasis on the collective versus the individual, while Westerners are depicted as being more selfish, self-centered, and thus more likely to sever social bonds when stressed. A key depiction of these difference between Western and Asian values is found in the East's claim that they value families more, to include both a prioritization of their children's needs and a genuine veneration of their elders. Westerners, due to modernization, are often viewed in the East as having abandoned those values, only to suffer the painful social consequences ...

 

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1:30PM

(RESILIENT BLOG) The Extremes To Which Non-Resilient National Medical Systems Must Go When Facing a Potential Epidemic

LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES, EXPERIENCING OUTBREAKS OF A PREVIOUSLY MUNDANE VIRUS (ZIKA) THAT HAS APPARENTLY MUTATED TO THE POINT OF TRIGGERING DEVASTATING BIRTH DEFECTS, ARE TAKING THE UNPRECEDENTED STEP OF ASKING WOMEN TO DELAY PREGNANCIES - IN ONE CASE UNTIL 2018. Mosquito-borne, Zika seems to be expanding its reach with climate change and the heightened international travel dynamics associated with globalization. In other words, this growing medical challenge feels like a glimpse of the world's near-term collective future, one which places unusual and profound pressures on the resilience of national medical systems. (The map above comes from the CDC) ...

 

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3:01PM

(RESILIENT BLOG) Climate Change Tests Metropolitan Resilience With Wider Array Of Weather Dynamics

I RECENTLY MET A SAN DIEGAN - A TRANSPLANT FROM WISCONSIN (WHERE I LIVE) - AND SHE WAS FLABBERGASTED TO NOTE A RECENT TORNADO WARNING THERE, COURTESY OF EL NINO.  Having grown up with tornados in southwestern Wisconsin, I was curious to discover how often this happens in sunny southern California, and, according to the Tornado History Project, it's not all that often - roughly once every 6-7 years for the immediate San Diego metro area. Having endured 6-7 such warnings every summer as a kid, that strikes me as pretty rare, so, sure, when they happen in San Diego, it must seem awfully exotic - like an earthquake in Wisconsin ...

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1:12PM

(RESILIENT BLOG) Transparency Begets Measurability Begets Improvement Begets Resilience

YOU CANNOT IMPROVE AN INDUSTRIAL ACTIVITY THAT YOU CANNOT MEASURE, BUT YOU CANNOT MEASURE THAT ACTIVITY IF THE INDUSTRY ISN'T BEING HONEST. The world's fisheries are under a great deal of stress right now, between pollution and rising ocean acidity triggered by higher CO2 absorption rates. Unsurprisingly, the more regulated Western nations, having themselves long overfished, now do a much better job of measuring and managing fish stock. But with the ballooning middle class emerging across the East and South, two global regions even more given to eating fish than the West, the pressure for bigger catches is immense among those very nations featuring weaker governments and regulatory oversight, begetting a classic "tragedy of the commons" that is now being addressed by an aggressive expansion of aquaculture (fishing "farms") across Asia, which, in turn, generates new and profound environmental stresses along that continent's littoral zones ...

 

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3:44PM

(RESILIENT BLOG) A World In Which China’s Economic Resilience Seems As Important To The World As America’s

AP photo, used in WAPO citationIT MAY SEEM AN OBVIOUS - ALMOST TRITE - OBSERVATION AT THIS POINT IN HISTORY, BUT YOU WOULDN'T KNOW IT FROM THE WAY WASHINGTON, THE PENTAGON, AND OUR CURRENT SLATE OF PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES SPEAK ABOUT CHINA.  That fundamental disconnect is somewhat scary to, as well as dangerous for, the rest of the world. And no, I don't note that as some subtle plea for better and less contentious relations with China, because it will always take two to tango. I do, however, note it as a continuing negative trend when it comes to these two nations' co-management of global economic stability ...

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10:37AM

YouTubes of 2015 Washington DC speech

Video segments of September 2015 briefing to an international military audience in the Washington DC area.

 

 

Part 1: Introductions and US grand strategy

 

 Part 2: America's looming energy self-sufficiency

 

Part 3: Climate Change and its impact on food & water

 

Part 4: The aging of great powers

 

Past 5: Millennials & Latinization of U.S.

 

Part 6: Evolution of US Military under Obama

 

Part 7: Dangers of a "splendid little war" with China

 

Part 8: Middle East without a Leviathan

 

Part 9: Answers to audience questions

10:47AM

(RESILIENT BLOG) Comparing Resilient’s View Of The World With DHS’s Mapping Of Critical Infrastructure (Video)

The embedded video, found on Resilient Corporation's YouTube channel, explains how our method for cataloguing market industry sectors - in our Resilient Score/Index offerings - compares to the Department of Homeland Security's classification of critical industries/sectors.  The video's purpose is to demonstrate that our resilience rating system encompasses the wide scope of DHS's market schema.

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2:55PM

(RESILIENT BLOG) A Squirrelly Argument Regarding Critical Infrastructure And Our Resilience In The Face Of Attacks

THE NATIONAL SECURITY COMMUNITY TENDS TO ATTRACT DOOMSDAY TYPES, WHILE THE UTILITIES SECTOR TENDS TO ATTRACT PRETERNATURALLY CALM ENGINEER TYPES - GO FIGURE! That's the just the nature of their respective businesses, so no big surprise that, when national security officials highlight the hacking threat to critical infrastructures (most frequently, electrical grids), plenty of practitioners in the utilities arena counter that "alarmism" with more prosaic examples of power outages - namely, those caused by rodents and birds. This is a classic argument between those who focus their professional attention on low-probability/high-impactevents (e.g., foreign military hackers attacking our critical infrastructure as a prelude to war-initiation) and those who must deal with high-probability/low-impact events - like a squirrel chewing through a wire and triggering a local blackout ...

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1:52PM

(RESILIENT BLOG) The Ultimate Enemy Of Resilience – And Democracy – Is Fear Of The Future

THE POOR WANT PROTECTION FROM THEIR CIRCUMSTANCES WHILE THE RICH WANT PROTECTION FROM THE POOR, BUT THE MIDDLE CLASS WANTS PROTECTION FROM THE FUTURE. They've achieved something both modest in scope but profound in political implications - a good life that they seek to protect. And when that middle class no longer feels sanguine about the future? Then their fears become the political system's driving dynamics ...

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3:05PM

(RESILIENT BLOG) Police Pioneering Minority Report-Like, Big Data-Driven, Predictive Technique On Individual Criminals

AS THE U.S. MILITARY EMBRACED COUNTER-INSURGENCY AND "SMALL WARS" AFTER 9/11, IT INVARIABLY PIVOTED FROM CLASSIC DEFENSE TO UNCONVENTIONAL SECURITY, AND - SINCE THEN - THAT SHIFT HAS TRICKLED DOWN TO POLICE DEPARTMENTS ACROSS THE NATION IN THE FORM OF REVOLUTIONARY TECHNOLOGIES DEVELOPED AND FIELDED. If you're the type who errs on the side of 9/11 changed everything, then this is a good example of its wide impact: what began in the national-security community, driven by the ambition and urgency to connect the dots, now migrates into law enforcement. Drones fall into this category (they connect the dots operationally and tactically in a myriad of ways), and so do Big Data techniques designed to sniff out potentialities and likelihoods ...

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2:33PM

(RESILIENT BLOG) The Big (Ratings) Short(age), or Why a Soda-Straw View of Enterprise Resilience Doesn't Cut it Anymore

WE HAVE LONG DEFINED ECONOMIC RESILIENCE OVERWHELMINGLY IN TERMS OF CREDIT RATINGS, AND IT IS THAT SODA-STRAW VIEW OF MODERN COMPLEXITY THAT LEAVES US FATALISTIC ABOUT "TOO WHATEVER TO FAIL" SCENARIOS.  As the book/movie, "The Big Short" made abundantly clear, we expect far too much from our classic credit rating systems (Standard & Poor's, Moody's), which are themselves subject to the same competitive pressures (in effect, rating-shopping by customers) as any other business enterprise. Now, a depressing NYT article about a recent SEC industry review suggests that little has changed since the 2008-09 Subprime Crisis . . .

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2:30PM

(RESILIENT BLOG) Nations Are Only As Resilient As Their Middle Class is Happy

IN HIS BRILLIANT BOOK ON "THE MORAL CONSEQUENCES OF ECONOMIC GROWTH," HARVARD POLITICAL ECONOMIST BENJAMIN FRIEDMAN DEMONSTRATED HOW AMERICA'S RESILIENCE AS A NATION IS - AND ALWAYS HAS BEEN - DIRECTLY RELATED TO THE ECONOMIC VITALITY OF ITS MIDDLE CLASS.  Whenever that middle class enjoyed rising income and expanding economic opportunity, the nation was more welcoming of immigrants, more tolerant of diversity, more progressive in its reforms, and more beneficently - and outwardly - focused in its state affairs.  In short, a happy middle class makes for a better America and better American leadership in this world.  But, when the opposite conditions arise, and the US middle class feels pressed upon, marginalized, and economically threatened, then America inevitably turns less welcoming of immigrants, less tolerant of diversity, more regressive in its politics, and more withdrawn from global affairs . . .

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